About: Avi Gilburt

Avi Gilburt

"THE BEST in This Business" --PSK (ElliottWaveTrader)

Avi Gilburt is a founder of FATRADER, where he shares his market sentiment analysis and moderates a team of some of the top-read and top-rated fundamental analysts online today.

Best known for the accuracy of his Elliott Wave market analysis on ElliottWaveTrader and Seeking Alpha (where he has been one of the top read analysts in metals and general markets for years), Avi has launched FATRADER to showcase research and elevate discussion in areas where fundamental and macro analysis can be effective.

Avi is an accountant and a lawyer by training. His education background includes his graduating college with dual accounting and economics majors, and he then passed all four parts of the CPA exam at once right after he graduated college. He then earned his Juris Doctorate in an advanced two and a half year program at the St. John’s School of Law in New York, where he graduated cum laude, and in the top 5% of his class. He then went onto the NYU School of Law for his masters of law in taxation (LL.M.).

Before retiring from his legal career, Avi was a partner and National Director at a major national firm. During his legal career, he spearheaded a number of acquisition transactions worth hundreds of millions to billions of dollars in value. So, clearly, he has a detailed understanding how businesses work and are valued.

Since founding ElliottWaveTrader in 2011, and developing a method of Elliott Wave analysis known as Fibonacci Pinball, Avi has made some spectacular market calls which has earned him the reputation of being one of the best technical analysts in the world. For example, in July of 2011, he called for the USD to begin a multi-year rally from the 74 region to an ideal target of 103.53. In January of 2017, the DXY struck 103.82 and began a pullback expected by Avi.

As another example of one of his astounding calls, Avi called the top in the gold market during its parabolic phase in 2011, with an ideal target of $1,915. As we all know, gold hit a high of $1,921, and pulled back for over 4 years since that time. The night that gold hit its lows in December 2015, Avi was telling his subscribers that he was on the phone with his broker buying a large order of physical gold, while he had been accumulating individual miner stocks that month, and had just opened the EWT Miners Portfolio to begin buying individual miners stocks due to his expectation of an impending low in the complex.

One of his most shocking calls in the stock market was his call in 2015 for the S&P 500 to rally from the 1800 region to the 2600 region, whereas it would coincide with a “global melt-up” in many other assets. Moreover, he was banging on the table in November of 2016 that we were about to enter the most powerful phase of the rally to 2600, and he strongly noted that it did not matter who won the 2016 election in the US, despite many believing that the market would “crash” if Trump would win the election. This was indeed a testament to the accuracy of the Fibonacci Pinball method that Avi developed.

Avi's Elliott Wave analysis has developed a subscriber base of over 4500 members, and 500 money manager clients.

Story Archive

The Stock Market Has Entered A Danger Zone

Our long-term target/resistance has been in the 3011-45SPX for quite a number of years, and on Friday, we have finally moved into this target. I believe this target has the potential to provide us with a significant market top.
By Avi Gilburt

The Market Is About Probabilities – Not Certainties

When I look at the stock market in its current structure, as well as the underlying major stocks within the market, it suggests that the greater probability points to a larger degree pullback in the coming weeks/months.
By Avi Gilburt

I Am A Long Term Bull, But . . .

I don't think this market tops out until around the 2022/23 time frame, with the potential to rally as high as the 3800-4100SPX region within that time frame. But, that is not the same as saying that I think the market is going directly to that region right now.
By Avi Gilburt

Shaping Up For A Wild Market

The structure of the market action we are seeing is certainly suggesting to me that the market is attempting to develop a larger degree top.
By Avi Gilburt

Fallacies About Gold Continue

If high prices would cause people to be bullish, why would anyone ever sell at high prices if those prices are what make people bullish. It is circular reasoning at its best. Rather, people feeling bullish is what causes high prices. And, when that bullishness runs its course to its maximum extreme, then there is only one way for such sentiment to turn, and that is the opposite direction, which is what then causes the selling.
By Avi Gilburt

Market Update - Market Analysis on Apr 14th, 2019

The 2910/15 region on the S&P
By Avi Gilburt

Do You Think Like The Rest Of The Market?

This past week,I wrote a facetious post on FATrader.com and then published it as a blog post on Seeking Alpha. Not a single one of the initial commenters took issue with my ridiculous attempt at trying to align the political news with the market directional move. They simply accepted it and viewed it as “reasonable analysis.”
By Avi Gilburt

Stock Market Is Sending A Lot Of Mixed Messages

While my ideal target is in the 2200 region on the S&P
By Avi Gilburt

How Does A Market Top?

It is not selling that causes a market to top.  Rather, markets top when there are no more buyers to push the market higher. In other words, when bullishness reaches an extreme, there are no more investors that are going to push the market higher, and then there is only one direction left for the market to go – and that is down. So, what we need to understand is where investor sentiment resides in order to determine if we are approaching a market top.
By Avi Gilburt

Turning Market Causality On Its Head

What I am about to say may shock some of you that have not read my analysis before. In fact, this perspective is not likely going to be accepted by the vast majority of those who read it. From my perspective, the strongest driver to the larger markets is market sentiment. And, I believe the emotion through which it is driven has the power to override fundamentals.
By Avi Gilburt

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