About: Eric Basmajian

Eric Basmajian

#1 Read Economics Contributor on Seeking Alpha

Eric Basmajian is a contributing analyst to FATRADER focusing on macro trends. Marrying a diverse background, with a degree in economics and experience at a quantitative hedge fund, Eric has developed a unique methodology to forecast major economic inflection points.

Eric started his career on the buy-side of the financial sector, as an analyst with Panorama Partners, a quantitative hedge fund specializing in algorithmically scanning for mispriced equity derivatives. Armed with a degree in economics from New York University and statistical knowledge from his hedge fund experience, Eric has developed a unique strategy for modeling economic trends. He provides macroeconomic research that spans three distinct time durations. With a focus on the 12-36 month growth rate cycle, the 6-10 year business cycle and the 10+ year secular forces that drive economies, Eric provides some of the most comprehensive coverage of macro trends available.

This strictly data-driven approach to economic analysis has allowed Eric to become the #1 read Economics contributor on Seeking Alpha.

Story Archive

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The Economy May Be Moving Into A Vulnerable Window

Today there were several notable data releases including the ever important industrial production report, one of the factors in the four-factor coincident index, as well as the widely followed retail sales report.
by Eric Basmajian - 1 week ago

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Analyzing The Employment Report

The employment report that was published on Friday was similar to the Q1 GDP report in that the headline number was "strong" and better than expectations while the numbers under the surface showed signs of continued economic deceleration.
by Eric Basmajian - 2 weeks ago

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The Fed Is Tight – Very Tight

After the Federal Reserve made their historic pivot earlier this year, moving from three additional rate hikes plus Quantitative Tightening (QT) on “auto-pilot” to zero rate hikes and ending QT, the conventional narrative is that the Fed is back to an accommodative stance.
by Eric Basmajian - 3 weeks ago

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Why "Autos" Is The Sector To Watch

The slowdown in the auto sector should be an area that everyone is paying attention to as it pertains to the economic cycle.
by Eric Basmajian - 1 month ago

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Using The Entire FX Market

While I take a very holistic view on the global economy and would never make a decision based on one market or one indicator, one strong indication of global growth would be a continued appreciation of emerging market currencies.
by Eric Basmajian - 1 month ago

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An Alternative Way Of Looking At China

It is somewhat surprising just how fast investors are willing to change their opinion when the deltas inflect positively but how long it can take to make a change in a negative direction.
by Eric Basmajian - 1 month ago

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Revisions To Initial Claims Boost Leading Employment Gauge

When looking at economic cycles, the amount of data to measure can be overwhelming.
by Eric Basmajian - 1 month ago

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Housing Market Index

The Housing Market Index (HMI) for March was released this morning and showed a reading of 62, one point shy of the expected reading of 63, flat month over month, and well off the high of 74 in December of 2017.
by Eric Basmajian - 2 months ago

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The Counterintuitive Nature Of The US Dollar

If the US economy slows sharply, the dollar will likely strengthen against emerging market currencies which is why a pronounced weakness in EM currencies or strength in the US dollar relative to EM currencies is one of the earliest indicators in economics.
by Eric Basmajian - 2 months ago

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International Recap - Market Analysis on Mar 11th, 2019

As we start the week and look at retail sales this morning for domestic data, there were a few key economic releases from international markets that continue to point towards soft global growth.
by Eric Basmajian - 2 months ago

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